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Bank base rates drop in the UK but will it make a difference?

The Bank of England’s monetary policy committee met on 6th November 2008 and took the decision to drop the bank base rate by an incredible 1.5%. Not only has this never occurred before, but the last time the base rate sat as low as 3% in the United Kingdom was 1954.

The question is, will this help both ourselves and the economy, both in the short and long term. I am afraid that my answer to this would have to be no, I can’t see it happening. The reason behind this is that the lenders will be unwilling to pass on the 1.5% to the public because they were unable to pass on the previous rate cut either. To put it into perspective, their standard variable rate is still at the level that it was more than 6 months ago, go figure.

The problem that most lending institutions have both here in the UK and around the globe is even though bank base rates have reduced the cost of funds from bank to bank has not fallen at the same rate. The rate at which financial institutions in the UK lend to each other is called the LIBOR rate which stands for the London inter-bank offered rate. Whilst LIBOR has come down very slightly over the last few months it is quite considerably out of sync with bank base rates. So even though money appears to be cheaper it is not.

The LIBOR rate is dictated by the willingness of the institutions to loan money to each other. Due to the onset of the credit crunch and the fact that the poor lending policies of the institutions have come to light, there has been an unwillingness to lend between the institutions and this has a knock on effect on the LIBOR. They all know about each other’s shoddy lending policies of the past and, due to the down turn in the economy, they do not want to expose themselves any further.

You would be forgiven for thinking that the cash inputs of various governments over the world may have gone some way to easing the crisis, but you would be sorely mistaken. For some reason there are rumours circulating that a condition of the cash injection is that lenders must lend a set percentage more next year than the previous one, and so they are preparing themselves for that eventuality, but this may only be rumour. What is for sure is that there is very little money about, and as such the rates are very poor.

In my opinion, what the decision of 6th November will do is up the confidence levels of the public. People will come to the natural conclusion that the lowering of base rates means there is light at the end of the tunnel. They will soon realise this isn’t so when they see that their mortgage rates have not changed in line with the bank’s new rate. The difference may be seen in commercial finance though. Most commercial rates are set at a level above the bank’s base rate, so it may reach here.

That said a lot of commercial lenders have already increased their over base rate quotes in anticipation for new borrowings. On that same theme many lenders have increased or even withdrawn their base rate tracker products through risk of losing money once a large base rate such as this is suggested. With such a large single rate cut it really makes you wonder whether some parties actually knew this was coming???

So in short will it have any effect? Well may be not in the short term but I would like to think may be even hope that over the coming months this recent reduction will find its way to the pumps as it were. If it doesn’t and doesn’t soon then all I can say is in the immortal words of Dads Army, We’re all doomed, doomed I tell you. Let’s hope not hey?

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